Active Cases - the "Curve"


In general I think there has been too much focus on total cumulative positive cases or total deaths or new cases on a given day.  When we were all told we are trying to flatten the curve.  The curve is really how many active cases do we have day-to-day over time.  In other words - do we have few enough active cases at any given moment for our healthcare system to be able to give adequate care (to people with COVID-19 and people with any other health issues).  And also how quickly is the number of active cases growing from day to day?

My data isn't amazing for this - because I haven't been recording the active cases number every day and it is difficult to look up historically (because most focus has been on total cases since March).  So I'll just plot a graph of the data points I do have.

United States Active Cases - Data Points 

collected from Worldometer (at various times of day)

And here they are charted out over time

Utah Active Cases - Data Points

I also did the same thing for Utah- though I had fewer data points collected from worldometer


But then tonight I found some stats for Estimated Active Cases for Utah embedded in a graph at utah.gov  - more specifically https://coronavirus.utah.gov/case-counts/



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