This evening I found numbers for Orange County, California from the Orange County register that I wanted to throw in for comparison. I'm working of population estimates of 3,180,000 for Orange County and 3,282,000 for Utah. So Utah overall has just a little larger population than Orange County. The last two or three days of stats are still subject to change and in some Utah cases estimated.
Utah County has been going way up in case counts. I had to increase the scale on the y-axis of this graph a lot... a bit over 6 active cases per 1000 has sufficed for quite a long time. Then Utah County has swiftly moved upward... 4 cases per 1000 around Sep 10, 5 cases per 1000 around Sep 14-15, 6 cases per 1000 around Sep 16-17, 7 cases per 1000 around Sep 18-19, 8 cases per 1000 around Sep 21-22, 9 cases per 1000 around Sep 23-24 Also - noteworthy - Utah as a whole and Salt Lake County are right with each other on actives cases per capita and recently broke 4 cases per 1000. For Utah as a whole 4 cases per 1000 was our worst before our current upswing and it happened around July 23 & 24. Salt Lake County was above 4 active cases per 1000 from about July 2-29. Wasatch County is also seeing a bit of an uptick the last 2 or 3 days especially but somewhat for a week or 9 days. Summit County has also seen a gradua...
In general I think there has been too much focus on total cumulative positive cases or total deaths or new cases on a given day. When we were all told we are trying to flatten the curve. The curve is really how many active cases do we have day-to-day over time. In other words - do we have few enough active cases at any given moment for our healthcare system to be able to give adequate care (to people with COVID-19 and people with any other health issues). And also how quickly is the number of active cases growing from day to day? My data isn't amazing for this - because I haven't been recording the active cases number every day and it is difficult to look up historically (because most focus has been on total cases since March). So I'll just plot a graph of the data points I do have. United States Active Cases - Data Points collected from Worldometer (at various times of day) https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ And ...
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