Active Cases UT & UT vs SoCal - Updated Dec 29

 



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Comparison to Orange County, California

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This evening I found numbers for Orange County, California from the Orange County register that I wanted to throw in for comparison.  I'm working of population estimates of 3,180,000 for Orange County and 3,282,000 for Utah.  So Utah overall has just a little larger population than Orange County.  The last two or three days of stats are still subject to change and in some Utah cases estimated.
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Active Cases Graph - abt Sep 24th

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 Utah County has been going way up in case counts.  I had to increase the scale on the y-axis of this graph a lot... a bit over 6 active cases per 1000 has sufficed for quite a long time.  Then Utah County has swiftly moved upward...  4 cases per 1000 around Sep 10,  5 cases per 1000 around Sep 14-15,  6 cases per 1000 around Sep 16-17,  7 cases per 1000 around Sep 18-19,  8 cases per 1000 around Sep 21-22,  9 cases per 1000 around Sep 23-24 Also - noteworthy - Utah as a whole and Salt Lake County are right with each other on actives cases per capita and recently broke 4 cases per 1000.  For Utah as a whole 4 cases per 1000 was our worst before our current upswing and it happened around July 23 & 24.  Salt Lake County was above 4 active cases per 1000 from about July 2-29. Wasatch County is also seeing a bit of an uptick the last 2 or 3 days especially but somewhat for a week or 9 days.  Summit County has also seen a gradua...
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Active Cases - the "Curve"

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In general I think there has been too much focus on total cumulative positive cases or total deaths or new cases on a given day.  When we were all told we are trying to flatten the curve.  The curve is really how many active cases do we have day-to-day over time.  In other words - do we have few enough active cases at any given moment for our healthcare system to be able to give adequate care (to people with COVID-19 and people with any other health issues).  And also how quickly is the number of active cases growing from day to day? My data isn't amazing for this - because I haven't been recording the active cases number every day and it is difficult to look up historically (because most focus has been on total cases since March).  So I'll just plot a graph of the data points I do have. United States Active Cases - Data Points  collected from Worldometer (at various times of day) https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ And ...
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